ONE APPLICATION OF ANALYTICAL HIERARCHICAL PROCESS IN FORENSICS AS A METHOD FOR RISK ASSESSMENT
Keywords:
forensics, risk, system analysis, AHP method, fire, air pollutantAbstract
Purpose: he goal of this paper is to confirm the interaction of the application of system analysis and risk management methods with forensic engineering. System analysis and risk assessment methods represent the basis for building a fire protection system; one of those events is discussed in this paper. This is the basis for considering the scope of consequences from the forensic point of view, as shown in the form of air pollution that occurs on that occasion.
Design/Methods/Approach: In this paper, the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method is chosen as a method of multi-criteria analysis for the purpose of group or individual decision-making. The method was applied for the purpose of identification from the perspective of forensic engineering and assessment of the effect of polluting substances. The assessment of the concentration of polluting substances was carried out on the basis of data from the National Network of Automatic Stations for Air Quality Monitoring in Belgrade.
Findings: In the paper, it was confirmed that forensics and systemic risk analysis are connected. It was done by using the example of the consequences of the fire in the Chinese shopping center in New Belgrade on August 12, 2021. The AHP method was applied to data related to the conception of air pollutants. The chosen locations where pollution was considered are Omladinskih brigada, Vračar, Zeleno brdo, and Vinča. It was confirmed that there was a correlation between the location of the fire and the concentration of the air pollutants, as well as contribution to the event analysis from a forensic point of view.
Originality/Value: With respect to general trends in the application of system analysis and forensic engineering, an attempt has been made to show correlations between these two approaches. In consideration of one specific case of a fire accident, it was shown that the results of systematic analysis are aligned with the forensic point of view. The surveys were carried out regarding measured data on air quality measurements at chosen stations in Belgrade.
Keywords: forensics, risk, system analysis, AHP method, fire, air pollutant.
References
Kenneth L. Carper, Forensic Engineering, CRC Press, Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data, USA, 2001.
Stojičić, S., Radovanović, R., Srećković, M., Petrović, N., Blagojević, M., Radovanović, N. (2023). Concept of risk, standards and application from the aspect of forensic engineering, Second International Symposium on Risk Analysis and Safety of Complex Structures and Components (IRAS 2023), available online at www.sciencedirect.com Procedia Structural Integrity 48 (2023) 104–112.
Brown, A., Singh, P.J., (2014). Forensic Risk Assessment: A Beginner’s Guide, Archives of Forensic Psychology, Global Institute of Forensic Psychology, Vol. 1, No. 1, 49–59.
Delić, E., Softić, A. (2014). Forensic Engineering and Risk Management Book 1: Fundamentals of Forensic Engineering, Inda, Lukavac, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Imamović, M., Jasarević, S., Manđuka, A., (2017). Basic Elements of System Failure Analysis in Reliability Calculation, 10th Scientific and Professional Conference with International Participation,” QUALITY 2017” Wu, Y., () The Challenges of Effective Risk Assessment and Safety Management of Fire and Explosion Hazards, Proceedings of the Eighth International Seminar on Fire and Explosion Hazards (ISFEH8), pp. 22-31, USTC Press
Law on Disaster Risk Reduction and Emergency Response. (2018). "Official Gazette of the Republic of Serbia", no. 87/2018.
Singh, J.P. (2012). The history, development, and testing of forensic risk assessment tools. In E.L. Griorenko (Ed.) Handbook of juvenile forensic psychology and psychiatry (pp. 215-225). New York, Springer Science
Dr. N. Krishnamurthy (2016) Forensic civil engineering and risk management, Proceedings of the International Conference on Forensic Civil Engineering, Nagpur, India 21, 22, 23 January 2016 http://www.profkrishna.com/ProfK-Publications/NK-FCE2016-%20FCE&RiskMgmt.pdf
Regulation on the Method of Development and Content of Fire Protection Plans for Autonomous Provinces, Local Self-Government Units, and Entities Classified in the First and Second Category. (2010). "Official Gazette of the Republic of Serbia", no. 73/2010.
Mlađan, D., Marić, P., Tubić, S. (2013). Application of risk assessment in the protection of population and territories in emergencies. Proceedings "Transition and Economic Crime," Criminal Police Academy, Belgrade, 113-129.
Saati, TL: Proces analitičke hijerarhije, McGravHill, Njujork (1980).
Stojičić, S., Srećković, M., Radovanović, R., Petrović, N., Radovanović, N., Stojičić, M., Pamučar, D. (2023). Forensic-engeering aspect in one example of long-distance transport of air pollution, Tehnički vjesnik, 30(2), 434-440. https:doi.org/10.17559/TV-20230112000224
